Identification and inference with ranking restrictions

نویسندگان

چکیده

We propose to add ranking restrictions on impulse?responses sign narrow the identified set in vector autoregressions (VARs). Ranking come from micro data heterogeneous industries VARs, bounds elasticities, or dynamics. Using both a fully Bayesian conditional uniform prior and prior?robust inference, we show that these help identify productivity news shocks data. In paradigm, restrictions, but not alone, imply raise output temporarily, significantly. This holds an application with rankings form of heterogeneity another applications slope as rankings. also variance decompositions. For example, bound contribution forecast error narrows by about 30 pp at one?year horizon. While misspecification can be concern added they are consistent our applications.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Quantitative Economics

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1759-7331', '1759-7323']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3982/qe1277